Topic: How bout them polls!!
Anonymous A started this discussion 6 years ago #91,879
Anonymous B joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 44 minutes later[^] [v] #1,044,334
Uh oh, this is going to trigger Syntax into another incoherent tl;dr about pollsFake anon !ZkUt8arUCU joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 2 minutes later, 47 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,044,335
Syntax joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 5 hours later, 5 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,044,457
@1,044,334 (B)
Naw - Trump vs Hillary - Hillary won the popular vote by several million people. 2.1%
"National polls were generally accurate, showing a Clinton lead of about 3% in the national popular vote (she ultimately won the national popular vote by 2.1%)"
Currently Biden leads Trump by Thursday, September 19
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 52, Trump 38 Biden +14
Of course there are those Electoral College Votes in the
> Democratic Rust Belt states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin by narrow margins
So how is Trump doing in those states currently?
I will show results for just one of those states and someone else can look at the other states to see
https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump-2/
Pick a state any state and see how Trump is currently doing.
Naw - Trump vs Hillary - Hillary won the popular vote by several million people. 2.1%
"National polls were generally accurate, showing a Clinton lead of about 3% in the national popular vote (she ultimately won the national popular vote by 2.1%)"
Trump exceeded expectations on Election Day by winning the traditionally Democratic Rust Belt states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin by narrow margins.
Currently Biden leads Trump by Thursday, September 19
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 52, Trump 38 Biden +14
Of course there are those Electoral College Votes in the
> Democratic Rust Belt states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin by narrow margins
So how is Trump doing in those states currently?
I will show results for just one of those states and someone else can look at the other states to see
Since Trump took office, his net approval in Michigan has decreased by 21 percentage points.
https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump-2/
Pick a state any state and see how Trump is currently doing.
(Edited 42 seconds later.)
Anonymous A (OP) replied with this 6 years ago, 3 hours later, 9 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,044,470
The company MorningConsult is where the above data came from...and be sure and see the picture in the first post.
Also...consider THIS:
Within the space of a few hours yesterday, President Donald Trump pinched out a series of tweets related to two different news articles. One included a screenshot from a recent Morning Consult poll, which found that the White House’s immigration ban is “one of Trump's most popular orders so far.” A second tweet linked to a story from The Hill about a new poll from Emerson College. The headline reads: “Trump administration seen as more truthful than news media: poll.”
Also...consider THIS:
Within the space of a few hours yesterday, President Donald Trump pinched out a series of tweets related to two different news articles. One included a screenshot from a recent Morning Consult poll, which found that the White House’s immigration ban is “one of Trump's most popular orders so far.” A second tweet linked to a story from The Hill about a new poll from Emerson College. The headline reads: “Trump administration seen as more truthful than news media: poll.”
(Edited 32 seconds later.)
Anonymous E joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 8 minutes later, 9 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,044,472
@previous (A)
The Morning Consult poll only surveyed people “selected from an opt-in panel, meaning only those who've signed up to take surveys can participate," CNN polling director Jennifer Agiesta told Stelter. Critics have argued that opt-in sampling is less representative than other sampling techniques, and Stelter writes that the Morning Consult poll would not have met CNN’s standards.
(The same poll also found that Trump’s approval rating has dropped to 47 percent, which Trump did not mention.)
The Morning Consult poll only surveyed people “selected from an opt-in panel, meaning only those who've signed up to take surveys can participate," CNN polling director Jennifer Agiesta told Stelter. Critics have argued that opt-in sampling is less representative than other sampling techniques, and Stelter writes that the Morning Consult poll would not have met CNN’s standards.
(The same poll also found that Trump’s approval rating has dropped to 47 percent, which Trump did not mention.)
Anonymous F joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 2 minutes later, 9 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,044,473
The most important detail about the current Morning Consult poll is. Trump's current approval rating over the 50 states polled. Trump is down for the count; Without exception.
Prove me wrong>
Prove me wrong>
Anonymous G joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 2 minutes later, 9 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,044,474
Morning Consult has been praised for accuracy, for example they predicted Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by 3% and she won by 2.1%, which was comfortably within the margin of error. FiveThirtyEight, a company that rates pollsters for accuracy and bias, gives Morning Consult a B- for accuracy and a slight leftward bias of 0.6%.
Anonymous A (OP) replied with this 6 years ago, 55 minutes later, 10 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,044,479
@previous (G)
Accuracy? lol not exactly
https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/06/20/on-the-morning-consult-poll-margins-of-error-and-the-undecideds-in-the-democratic-primary/
Accuracy? lol not exactly
https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/06/20/on-the-morning-consult-poll-margins-of-error-and-the-undecideds-in-the-democratic-primary/