Topic: Hot off Press Biden vs Trump, Is there a trend here? For references only Trump was -2% from Hillary
Stop the Presses started this discussion 6 years ago #91,697
At this point in time 2016
Now all things being equal - If election were held today Trump could lose the popular vote by Millions Many Millions and still win the swing states as he did last time Except Pick any Swing State and look at his current popularity vs same day/month in 2016 - Any state You name it and I will (when time is available) give you the number and proof with link
Friday, May 17
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 49, Trump 38 Biden +11
Sunday, June 16
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 49, Trump 39 Biden +10
Friday, July 26
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 49, Trump 39 Biden +10
Friday, August 16
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 50, Trump 38 Biden +12
Thursday, September 19
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 52, Trump 38 Biden +14
Now all things being equal - If election were held today Trump could lose the popular vote by Millions Many Millions and still win the swing states as he did last time Except Pick any Swing State and look at his current popularity vs same day/month in 2016 - Any state You name it and I will (when time is available) give you the number and proof with link
Friday, May 17
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 49, Trump 38 Biden +11
Sunday, June 16
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 49, Trump 39 Biden +10
Friday, July 26
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 49, Trump 39 Biden +10
Friday, August 16
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 50, Trump 38 Biden +12
Thursday, September 19
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 52, Trump 38 Biden +14
Anonymous B joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 58 minutes later[^] [v] #1,042,356
If there was a truly competent candidate on the Dems side info like this would actually matter more.
There isn't though. They have none especially Sleepy Joe that would be better than Trump.
All of them are a threat towards George Owell's vision of lunacy.
I firmly believe that and so I will stand by Trump till the end.
There isn't though. They have none especially Sleepy Joe that would be better than Trump.
All of them are a threat towards George Owell's vision of lunacy.
I firmly believe that and so I will stand by Trump till the end.
Syntax (OP) replied with this 6 years ago, 21 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,374
@previous (B)
Trump now wants to add more Smog to California's air - Put more poison into atmosphere and damage kids lungs. That is his most recent move to fuck up planet and where I live. And those kids still in cages that he says Obama built - Yet Obama was not putting children in cages and Trump does.
And that so called Christian says the bible is the best book ever written
Leviticus 19:33-34 33"'When a foreigner resides among you in your land, do not mistreat them. 34The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.
"What does the Bible say about illegal immigration?". Answer: Note: We wholeheartedly believe that Christians are called to be compassionate and merciful toward immigrants (Exodus 22:21; Leviticus 19:33–34; Matthew 25:35). We also believe that the United States should have a more compassionate and merciful immigration policy.
Matthew 25:35
35 For I was hungry and you gave me something to eat, I was thirsty and you gave me something to drink, I was a stranger and you invited me in,
Hebrews 13:2
2 Do not forget to show hospitality to strangers, for by so doing some people have shown hospitality to angels without knowing it.
27 Religion that God our Father accepts as pure and faultless is this: to look after orphans and widows in their distress and to keep oneself from being polluted by the world.
Trump now wants to add more Smog to California's air - Put more poison into atmosphere and damage kids lungs. That is his most recent move to fuck up planet and where I live. And those kids still in cages that he says Obama built - Yet Obama was not putting children in cages and Trump does.
And that so called Christian says the bible is the best book ever written
Leviticus 19:33-34 33"'When a foreigner resides among you in your land, do not mistreat them. 34The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.
What is Christian perspective on immigration?
“The Christian Perspective on Immigration”. Actually, allow me to be more precise: the Christian perspective on immigrants makes no distinction between legal and illegal. The Christian perspective on immigrants makes no distinction between legal and illegal because the Christian perspective per se does not see “immigrant” but sees “child of God”.
“The Christian Perspective on Immigration”. Actually, allow me to be more precise: the Christian perspective on immigrants makes no distinction between legal and illegal. The Christian perspective on immigrants makes no distinction between legal and illegal because the Christian perspective per se does not see “immigrant” but sees “child of God”.
"What does the Bible say about illegal immigration?". Answer: Note: We wholeheartedly believe that Christians are called to be compassionate and merciful toward immigrants (Exodus 22:21; Leviticus 19:33–34; Matthew 25:35). We also believe that the United States should have a more compassionate and merciful immigration policy.
Matthew 25:35
35 For I was hungry and you gave me something to eat, I was thirsty and you gave me something to drink, I was a stranger and you invited me in,
Hebrews 13:2
2 Do not forget to show hospitality to strangers, for by so doing some people have shown hospitality to angels without knowing it.
27 Religion that God our Father accepts as pure and faultless is this: to look after orphans and widows in their distress and to keep oneself from being polluted by the world.
Matthew 25:31-46 For I was hungry and you gave me something to eat, I was thirsty and you gave me something to drink, I was a stranger and you invited me in, 36 I needed clothes and you clothed me, I was sick and you looked after me, I was in prison and you came to visit me.’ 37 “Then the righteous will answer him, ‘Lord, when did we see you hungry and feed you, or thirsty and give you something to drink? 38 When did we see you a stranger and invite you in, or needing clothes and clothe you? 39 When did we see you sick or in prison and go to visit you?’
Anonymous B replied with this 6 years ago, 45 minutes later, 2 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,397
@previous (Syntax)
You quoting scripture is exactly like a Muslim doing advertisements for hot dogs.
You quoting scripture is exactly like a Muslim doing advertisements for hot dogs.
Anonymous C joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 5 hours later, 7 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,601
I really wish nursing homes wouldn't show CNN to the dementia patientsAnonymous D joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 1 hour later, 9 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,629
@previous (C)
Trump wishes Fox News will just shut up about how poorly he is doing in the Fox News Poll, month after month after month.
Trump wishes Fox News will just shut up about how poorly he is doing in the Fox News Poll, month after month after month.
Meta !Sober//iZs joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 8 minutes later, 9 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,630
> muh polls
You didn't learn anything from 2016 did you ?
You didn't learn anything from 2016 did you ?
Anonymous F joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 4 minutes later, 9 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,631
@previous (Meta !Sober//iZs)
You sir, are supposed to be supporting Bernie Sanders. Don't think I've forgotten.
You sir, are supposed to be supporting Bernie Sanders. Don't think I've forgotten.
Meta !Sober//iZs replied with this 6 years ago, 1 minute later, 9 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,633
Berntax replied with this 6 years ago, 1 minute later, 9 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,638
Meta !Sober//iZs replied with this 6 years ago, 1 hour later, 11 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,656
PS three years of telling Trump supporters they're nazis will definitely make them eager to identify themselves as such to pollsters ?
Anonymous G joined in and replied with this 6 years ago, 26 minutes later, 11 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,658
@1,042,630 (Meta !Sober//iZs)Damn I am working on stuff for 2morrow to clear my Sat-Sun 1000% and had one fyne reply that went into some cloud about @1,042,630 (Meta !Sober//iZs)
> > muh polls
> You didn't learn anything from 2016 did you ?
How about the one you ain't heard of that was the most accurate in 2016 and you should see what they have currently - Including your state and they use 5000 people
Anyway for some other time but at least you can have this image about your own state and you can even use the drop down menu (at their site to look at ALL the other states and see how Trump is fairing up (ALL Down)
Meta !Sober//iZs replied with this 6 years ago, 20 minutes later, 11 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,661
@previous (G)
> the one you ain't heard of that was the most accurate in 2016
This doesn't mean shit. Lots of people predict lots of things, some of them will turn out to be correct. You can go back after the election is over and find someone who called it and say "Polling Company X predicted it exactly!". That doesn't mean they'll be right again. Maybe Nate "49 out of 50" Silver will be right this time. Maybe not.
You were posting these same fake and gay polls every day from summer 2015 to election night. Trump can't win the primary, Trump can't win Florida, Hillary has a 98% chance, Nate Silver, Morning Consult, 538 re:Betfair offshore bank account, etc, etc, etc.
You should know by now after 4 years of this (from the start of the campaign in 2015) that the normal rules of politics do not apply to Trump.
Remind me again what the definition of insanity is ?
> the one you ain't heard of that was the most accurate in 2016
This doesn't mean shit. Lots of people predict lots of things, some of them will turn out to be correct. You can go back after the election is over and find someone who called it and say "Polling Company X predicted it exactly!". That doesn't mean they'll be right again. Maybe Nate "49 out of 50" Silver will be right this time. Maybe not.
You were posting these same fake and gay polls every day from summer 2015 to election night. Trump can't win the primary, Trump can't win Florida, Hillary has a 98% chance, Nate Silver, Morning Consult, 538 re:Betfair offshore bank account, etc, etc, etc.
You should know by now after 4 years of this (from the start of the campaign in 2015) that the normal rules of politics do not apply to Trump.
Remind me again what the definition of insanity is ?
Syntax replied with this 6 years ago, 21 minutes later, 12 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,663
@1,042,630 (Meta !Sober//iZs)Found the lost in clouds attempt
Trump- Hillary were both inside the margin of error which overall was 2%
2020 US Presidential Election 409 DAYS 22 HOURS 55 MINUTES
No clue who ends up running against Trump. For argument's sake assume Biden is the guy. Fox shows Sanders beating Trump +8 and Warren +6
When they hypothetically drop out does Biden end up with 14 more points against Trump? Probably not yet one could imagine his lead wood increase over the current +14
Wednesday, September 11
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Biden ABC News/Wash Post Biden 55, Trump 40 Biden +15
Many other polls have Biden far outpacing Trump - So given you live in TX how is Trump doing today there?
On a daily basis, Morning Consult is surveying over 5,000 registered voters across the United States on President Trump. Each month, we’ll update this page with the latest survey data, providing a clear picture of Trump’s approval and re-election prospects.
You have the Texas results. Is he doing as well in your hood currently as compared to 2016?
So how good are they? Track record? Morning Consult
During the 2016 U.S. Presidential election, Morning Consult and the political journalism company Politico published a weekly polling partnership on ‘political issues, personalities and media aspects that affect the daily debate. The polling relationship continued after the 2016 election and is released weekly in Politico Playbook.
The company's services saw an increase in popularity in 2016 and 2017 following its accurate polling results for the 2016 U.S. presidential election, showing a closer race than other pollsters.
The company's services saw an increase in popularity in 2016 and 2017 following its accurate polling results for the 2016 U.S. presidential election, showing a closer race than other pollsters.
Found where in the cloud the missing post moved2
So how about a Key Swing State from 2016
Other potential swing states include Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, New Mexico, Nevada, Ohio, Texas, and Virginia, all of which came within a 10 point margin of victory in the 2016 Election.
West Virginia was also one of two states where Donald Trump won every county, the other being Oklahoma. Trump's 42.2% margin of victory is the largest of any presidential candidate from either party in the state's history, besting Abraham Lincoln's 36.4% margin of victory in 1864.
Syntax double-posted this 6 years ago, 8 minutes later, 12 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,042,665
@1,042,661 (Meta !Sober//iZs)
> that the normal rules of politics do not apply to Trump.
Yes indeed Trump is acting almost as if he is the Manchurian Candidate. A ...P.T Barnum Circus and he for sure has a following.
So will I bet again - Of course but the margin has to be MUCH larger and outside the Margin of Error band by perhaps 6 points - And of course a close look at the Swing States. Trump won one of them by +.2%
Nor will I bet all that much money IF I do. Just enough to make it fun nor care if I lose it. Let me tell ya for sure I took a real hit on Hard Cash reserves - Did NOT touch my stocks or bonds but when it came to real money in the bank Wheeeeww I do not want to be in that position again - Could have covered that loss quickly but taken a huge hit IRS wise on selling Founders stock in Google and Qualcomm - Still own those share and soon Google can be sold if I want without taking a monster hit.
> that the normal rules of politics do not apply to Trump.
Yes indeed Trump is acting almost as if he is the Manchurian Candidate. A ...P.T Barnum Circus and he for sure has a following.
So will I bet again - Of course but the margin has to be MUCH larger and outside the Margin of Error band by perhaps 6 points - And of course a close look at the Swing States. Trump won one of them by +.2%
Nor will I bet all that much money IF I do. Just enough to make it fun nor care if I lose it. Let me tell ya for sure I took a real hit on Hard Cash reserves - Did NOT touch my stocks or bonds but when it came to real money in the bank Wheeeeww I do not want to be in that position again - Could have covered that loss quickly but taken a huge hit IRS wise on selling Founders stock in Google and Qualcomm - Still own those share and soon Google can be sold if I want without taking a monster hit.
(Edited 57 seconds later.)