How was he doing in 2015...about the same distance from that election then as we are now from the next Won?(Edited 19 seconds later.)
On September 7, 2015 he was polling about 2 points behind Clinton on average. On September 6, 2019, he's 10+ points behind Biden.
@previous (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
So the Democrats are saying he
really can't win this time?
Hmmmmmmm
@1,037,646 (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
Was a poll of 1000 people...right?
(Edited 12 seconds later.)
@1,037,648 (A)
He ended up losing by about 2 points in the actual election so I don't know what point you were trying to make.
@1,037,649 (A)
I said polling average so it was a collection of dozens of polls. If you think 1000 people can't get you a representative sample, there are many freely available courses in statistics that you can take online which will relieve you of that misunderstanding.
@1,037,650 (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
He did NOT lose the election...otherwise we'd all ready have open borders and they'd be drowning babies moments after they are 'delivered' by now.
@previous (A)
He lost the popular vote by two percentage points.
But Trump CANT WIN...ITS IMPOSSIBLE IN 2015.
....
(Edited 26 seconds later.)
@1,037,654 (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
And? What happened the January after that??
@previous (A)
The electoral college said "Fuck this democracy shit!" yet again.
@1,037,665 (A)
Do you think he can win the EC if he loses the popular vote by 8 percentage points?
@previous (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
Sure glad you're on top of this because I am sooooo busy so fukin busy with stuff getting ready for weekend and then going to Boogie.
Should add that with one minor exception (one polling company) of the 15-17 or so - Trump did NOT beat the margin of error on 1000 people - When he did it was .2%
OP 1000 people gives US about 3% window I forget what 5000 gives you and someone else can calculate it cause that's simple Stats 101
OP look at this because you get to see just how good or bad a particular polling outfit is for the Long Term - So many decades -
Use that against this
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/national_general_election/
That way you can judge for yourself if or if not someone is in trouble - Now I wonder because simple math does not work for say Biden currently showing
General Election: Trump vs. Biden IBD/TIPP Biden 54, Trump 42 Biden +12
The question of course is Sanders Warren and Harris each are beating Trump and only one Dem is going to run against Trump - So do the 10 points all go to the Dems winner? I guess not all of them will because people get excited about their choice and get depressed and fail to vote for the overall winner but THAT is abouve my Pay Grade
Bottom line and this is a Educated Guess - Doubt you can find the Incumbent President SO Far behind a Dem running at this point in tyme - Anyone is free to research that and make me look uneducated -
And it's now well known that a Democracy USA Isn't - It's a Republic
where just 800,000 or so people decided the 2016 Election - AKA The Swing States.
So what counts is will more or less than the 800,000 be around to tip Trump over as winner? To see in advance how that is going do this please
https://morningconsult.com/ Look them up and find out about their Reputation FIRST - This is important! Then
NO FIRST
On a daily basis, Morning Consult is surveying over 5,000 registered voters across the United States on President Trump. Each month, we’ll update this page with the latest survey data, providing a clear picture of Trump’s approval and re-election prospects.
https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump-2/ Notice it starts with Alabama and compares Alabama for Trump's popularity Start 2017 vs NOW is he less or more?
Since Trump took office, his net approval in
Alabama has decreased by 12 percentage points.
IF Bert is around? Let's look at Tennessee
Since Trump took office, his net approval in Tennessee has decreased by 15 percentage points.
Then on your own step through the Swing States TRUMP Won - Just look at each of them - Been a full month since I last looked. I remember Michigan Wisconsin ???
Easy to look them UP and see how Trump is currently doing - NOW I said by memory that 800,000 people decided the election BUT and I have this as a pinned Tab
How Trump won the presidency with razor-thin margins in ...
https://www.washingtonpost.com › 2016-election › swing-state-margins
Nov 11, 2016 - Only 107000 votes in three states decided the election.
... How Trump won the presidency with razor-thin margins in swing states ... Of the more than 120 million votes cast in the 2016 election, 107,000 votes in three states effectively ... Many of these states are traditional Democratic strongholds that are ...
So is it true that only 107,000 people decided the Election? Good to understand this early on - Me I have OTHER Political
Stuff I am up2 and off for one more of so MANY Medical EXAMS necessary for a Trip Trips(s) Going to do a bit of Planet Bouncing Sooooon
(Edited 2 minutes later.)
@1,037,681 (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
Not sure...all I know is there was no possible way whatsover he could win the last election...according to every liberal frome South Carolina to Cardiff by the sea..
(Edited 36 seconds later.)