14 Days before Election day 2012 Romney and Obama were neck to neck with Obama +.9 to +.7 for the 14 day period with Obama winning by +3.9
Only two polling companies came close at +3.0
ABC News/Wash Post
Pew Research (for 2016 no predictions, however a huge amount of research on demographics about the what why where how etc
Both Fox News and I have decided to discount and eliminate two polls in Real Clear Politics poll of polls
LA Times/USC and IBD/TIPP Tracking. Both are considered outlines and each shows Clinton and Trump neck to neck. Those numbers cannot be reconciled with the Battleground State polls.
Real Clear Politics Poll of Polls Clinton +5
Corrected because Fox News & I can. Clinton +6.857
ABC news/Washington Post Clinton +12(Edited 36 seconds later.)