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Minichan

Topic: I think Cruz's victory in Iowa is a redux of Santorum's 2012 and Huckabee's 2008 Iowa wins.

Metæ started this discussion 10 years ago #49,754

The Trump has not yet been stumped.

Big Daddy Derek !Uvm54ORbmo joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 5 minutes later[^] [v] #646,715

I'm predicting Trump wins Vegas.

Metæ (OP) replied with this 10 years ago, 3 minutes later, 8 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #646,716

@previous (Big Daddy Derek !Uvm54ORbmo)
I'm predicting Trump wins your mom.

Anonymous C joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 8 minutes later, 17 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #646,718

> The Trump has not yet been stumped.

Really? He lost. Came in 2nd tied with Rubio at 2nd.

The real shock of the night is Betfair odds.
Who will be the next Republican Nominee?
Marco Rubio 55 %
Donald Trump 26 %
Ted Cruz 13 %

Who will be the next President?
Hillary Clinton 51 %
Marco Rubio 24 %
Donald Trump 8 %
Ted Cruz 4 %

One hour ago it was Trump vs Hillary with Hillary winning by 2:1

Big Daddy Derek !Uvm54ORbmo joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 13 minutes later, 31 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #646,722

@646,715 (Big Daddy Derek !Uvm54ORbmo)
In Vegas, the house always wins. Thanks.

Metæ (OP) replied with this 10 years ago, 3 minutes later, 35 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #646,724

There's 49 primaries left though.

Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 57 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #646,735

Historically Iowa picks the winning Republican candidate around 50% of the time...so it really doesn't have that much predictive power. The most it does is whittle down the field by eliminating the worst-performing candidate(s). I think after Nevada we will see the field be about 4-5 republicans smaller. O'Malley may drop out but since he was never going to win, he may just stay in to boost name recognition in 2020 (or 2024 if a dem wins in 2016).

Anonymous C replied with this 10 years ago, 5 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #646,736

@previous (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/omalley-to-suspend-his-campaign-according-to-campaign-adviser/2016/02/01/4e1a4572-c77c-11e5-a4aa-f25866ba0dc6_story.html

http://nypost.com/2016/02/01/martin-omalley-drops-out-of-democratic-race-for-president/

(Edited 56 seconds later.)

Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU replied with this 10 years ago, 3 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #646,737

@previous (C)
Ah ok. A little premature for him maybe, but he was expecting somewhere between 3-5% and he'll be lucky to actually get 1%. Better luck next time!

Metæ (OP) replied with this 10 years ago, 5 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #646,738

@646,735 (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
> Nevada
You mean the Nebraska primary?

Sheila LaBoof joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 5 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #646,739

will he finally let US citizens marry their cousins in all 50 states and guam and several other places?

Anonymous C replied with this 10 years ago, 1 minute later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #646,740

@646,737 (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/01/politics/mike-huckabee-drops-out-of-2016-presidential-race/

Sheila LaBoof replied with this 10 years ago, 2 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #646,741

There's 50 hurdles. One guy gets over the first one. Several other racers say, fuck it no point now.

Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU replied with this 10 years ago, 56 seconds later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #646,742

@646,740 (C)
The culling begins!
@646,738 (Metæ)
Actually, it is Nasvhille, who are known for their early caucuses.

Big Daddy Derek !Uvm54ORbmo joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 16 minutes later, 2 hours after the original post[^] [v] #646,743

I hate this election :(

Anonymous H joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 8 minutes later, 2 hours after the original post[^] [v] #646,744

@previous (Big Daddy Derek !Uvm54ORbmo)
I love it. Ringmaster Trump is great for laughs.

(Edited 48 seconds later.)

MLHqI35Srs joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 14 hours later, 16 hours after the original post[^] [v] #646,884

i am amused that coming in second to someone by one point who placed all his eggs in one basket means he has lost. perma-virgin tears powers trumps godly aura of basedness

Anonymous H replied with this 10 years ago, 47 minutes later, 17 hours after the original post[^] [v] #646,894

@previous (MLHqI35Srs)
He wanted to run the tables. Guess he forgot that all of his casino's went bankrupt.
Trump = Gambler = Fail

Anonymous J joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 5 hours later, 22 hours after the original post[^] [v] #646,939

@previous (H)
How do you fail in a business where the odds are literally stacked in your favor?

Anonymous C replied with this 10 years ago, 32 minutes later, 22 hours after the original post[^] [v] #646,947

@previous (J)
By conducting three of them in a city, that no one wants to go to.
Trifecta because of multiple bankruptcies of three casinos.

Anonymous I replied with this 10 years ago, 1 hour later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #646,970

@646,894 (H)
its why hes perfect for the job! hed bring the whole shitty thing down more efficiently than all the corrupt politicians and lobbists

Sheila LaBoof replied with this 10 years ago, 1 hour later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #646,991

very wealthy people are better than us, that's just how it is

Metæ (OP) replied with this 10 years ago, 1 hour later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,011

@646,894 (H)
@646,939 (J)
https://www.google.com/search?q=atlantic+city+bankruptcy
https://www.google.com/search?q=casino+bankruptcy+-trump
https://www.google.com/search?q=indian+casino+bankruptcy

Casino bankruptcy seems to be pretty common. Even Caesar's Palace is in chapter 11. It seems to be a cyclical business with ups and downs. I don't think Trump's casino bankruptcies mean he's a total failure.

Also the Iowa caucus is a total joke. Ties broken by coin flip? No secret ballot? Speeches at the polling place? Seriously?!

Metæ (OP) double-posted this 10 years ago, 9 hours later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,083

Guess who else skipped a debate and lost in Iowa...

(Edited 20 seconds later.)

RWBY Rhubarb? !!iNo3FkiZx joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 3 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,084

So they're FINALLY actually picking the nominees?

It's about bloody time. This has been going on for far too long.

Metæ (OP) replied with this 10 years ago, 13 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,089

@previous (RWBY Rhubarb? !!iNo3FkiZx)
We have a much bigger country so it takes longer. The nomination is Feb-June, then the election is from June-November then it's over with the winner taking the Presidency in Jan 2017. The whole thing from the first primary (Iowa) to election day is only 9 months.

Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU replied with this 10 years ago, 23 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,091

@647,084 (RWBY Rhubarb? !!iNo3FkiZx)
At least we get to vote directly indirectly for our leaders. Thanks.

Anonymous C replied with this 10 years ago, 21 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,093

@647,011 (Metæ)
Actually every remaining Casino open in Atlantic city is in deeeep trouble.
Trump who has failed miserably in multiple business's such as his own airline - Just add Casino's to his long list of FAIL

He also admitted last night on TV that skipping the last debate cost him. Of course since Megan scares the shit out of him and he ran off in fear - one can understand why he was not up to any questions from her. @647,089 (Metæ)

Now given you have some spare time currently - Check Betfair out for accuracy as compared to say Nate Silver on predictions. They have Rubio at just over 2:1 over Trump for Republican Nominee.

Keep your eye on this - I used it in the past for just terrific cash flow - Its not open to USA Citizens UNLESS UNLESS - They have a bank account & address in Eu or anywhere outside of USA.

Now of course you do not have any outside of USA contacts or hummmmmm do you? Anyway for the fun of it keep your eye on Betfair on occasion for some fun or hummmmm even some profit - BUT if you stick 2 being a fan of Trump - Do me a favor and don't use that site unless you get a new job.

https://www.betfairpredicts.com/
http://fivethirtyeight.com/politics/
Some will point out that Sam Wong is as accurate or more so then Nate so you might look him up. Sam Wong is not so much so often Rong

(Edited 9 minutes later.)

Anonymous L joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 1 hour later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,101

@previous (C)
I used to bounce signals off the moon. Worked maybe 1/20 times I tried and the key word for the only love they will ever know. On that note I am still on quest to discover what else equals the thrills n satisfaction of Sex aka Making Love. I wood guess that Becky wood say its the thrill of Sex? Hummmmmmm do u no wot I really wanted in the neck. Doing so brings in the real deal if only temporary as in back. And its even MORE Illegal to spell it out as Fire Earth Water Metal and Wood and Japan tossed in Heaven at some point Over the years when I was hired. Then had the nerve to ask some questions like - May I see the top middle or bottom and given eyes of You or me catch different things, its not a derail when my reasons were accurate n honest and ON TOPIC!!! ah so you are not happy then just work on correcting that.

Anonymous M joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 5 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,102

@previous (L)
Don't quit your day job.

Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU replied with this 10 years ago, 5 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,106

@647,101 (L)
Oh man is this a syntax Markov bot???

Anonymous C replied with this 10 years ago, 7 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,107

@previous (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
> I used to bounce signals off the moon. Worked maybe 1/20 times

That is accurate. Rest is bot

Anonymous J replied with this 10 years ago, 3 hours later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,131

@647,106 (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
Yup.

Gerbils !5bwKgiJVXk joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 43 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #647,146

No matter who wins, USAmerica is FucKed

Sheila LaBoof replied with this 10 years ago, 5 hours later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #647,216

@previous (Gerbils !5bwKgiJVXk)
Ah, Hitler employed Herr Gerbils as minister of propaganda.

Anonymous O joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 4 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #647,218

@647,101 (L)
Illegible gibberish.

RWBY Rhubarb? !!iNo3FkiZx replied with this 10 years ago, 3 hours later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #647,243

@647,089 (Metæ)
@647,091 (Fake anon !ZkUt8arUCU)
That is all well and good, but please choose a new leader soon. Thanks.

Metæ (OP) replied with this 10 years ago, 3 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #647,244

@previous (RWBY Rhubarb? !!iNo3FkiZx)
If you guys had gone a bit easier on the taxation and parliamentary representation of us in the 1770's we wouldn't be in this boat now, would we?

(Edited 1 minute later.)

RWBY Rhubarb? !!iNo3FkiZx replied with this 10 years ago, 9 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #647,246

@previous (Metæ)
We would, in all likelihood, still be in a similar boat. If not the exact same boat. We just would have gotten into the boat later. And possibly in a less violent manner.

Metæ (OP) replied with this 10 years ago, 13 hours later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #647,483

@previous (RWBY Rhubarb? !!iNo3FkiZx)
But we'd have an efficient, multiparty (as opposed to two party) Westminster parliamentary system like the other ex-colonies.

Anonymous B replied with this 10 years ago, 4 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #647,484

@previous (Metæ)
Perhaps even a Mixed Member Proportional voting system

RWBY Rhubarb? !!iNo3FkiZx replied with this 10 years ago, 2 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #647,488

@647,483 (Metæ)
I thought that you have other political parties (in theory), but it's just that two of them dominate?

Anonymous C replied with this 10 years ago, 14 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #647,492

@previous (RWBY Rhubarb? !!iNo3FkiZx)
In theory we have a few more. Green for example and of no consequence. The Tea party however is considered to be its own party except they are folded in with the Republicans.
And Independents. They can be of either party except they just don't want to come out of the closet.

Anonymous B replied with this 10 years ago, 14 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #647,500

@previous (C)
MMP would be a grate change for USAmericans. Proportional representation would probably help stop some of the corrupt lobbying as the smaller parties can join together in coalition to block the corporate ownership of politics.

Metæ (OP) replied with this 10 years ago, 5 days later, 1 week after the original post[^] [v] #649,014

Not even Kasich and Cruz combined could stump the Trump in New Hampshire!!!

Sheila LaBoof replied with this 10 years ago, 10 minutes later, 1 week after the original post[^] [v] #649,017

I think Mr. T should try for the job next time around

Anonymous P joined in and replied with this 10 years ago, 1 hour later, 1 week after the original post[^] [v] #649,040

@647,492 (C)
And libertarians.

I'd love to see the tea party and republicans split.
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