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Minichan

Topic: The Monty Hall Problem

Anonymous A started this discussion 11 years ago #46,150

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem
Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?

Answer: yes, you should switch your choice!

Meowth joined in and replied with this 11 years ago, 8 minutes later[^] [v] #609,222

I've spent quite several hours looking this up on YouTube back how many years ago. It's pretty interesting, but in an overall perspective it does make sense.

Edit: This is one of the specific videos I remember watching.

(Edited 35 seconds later.)

Anonymous C joined in and replied with this 11 years ago, 17 minutes later, 25 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #609,232

@previous (Meowth)
I'm not sure why I watched the entire video.

Million Muffin March joined in and replied with this 11 years ago, 2 hours later, 2 hours after the original post[^] [v] #609,277

Shouldn't it be called Wayne Brady Problem now

Killer Lettuce?? !!iNo3FkiZx joined in and replied with this 11 years ago, 9 hours later, 12 hours after the original post[^] [v] #609,370

@previous (Million Muffin March)
> DLC

Meowth replied with this 11 years ago, 9 hours later, 21 hours after the original post[^] [v] #609,486

@609,232 (C)
It's a good video that more than just a few people can understand.

squeegee joined in and replied with this 11 years ago, 3 minutes later, 21 hours after the original post[^] [v] #609,491

if i recall correctly you should always switch. this was used as an example of game theory along with stuff like the prisoner's dilemma. it's just a matter of probability. it seems like the choice ends up being 50/50, but it's not. i forgot how it all plays out, but i believe the optimal strat is to always switch your choice.

Anonymous A (OP) replied with this 11 years ago, 1 minute later, 21 hours after the original post[^] [v] #609,493

@previous (squeegee)
No shit that's what the fucking OP says, god.

squeegee replied with this 11 years ago, 10 minutes later, 22 hours after the original post[^] [v] #609,497

@previous (A)
do you know the answer to the prisoner's dilemma?

Anonymous G joined in and replied with this 11 years ago, 4 hours later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #609,553

@609,491 (squeegee)
and what if game theory leads to to the door with nothing innit? what if you prefer the goats?

Anonymous A (OP) replied with this 11 years ago, 3 hours later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #609,638

@609,497 (squeegee)
No

Meowth replied with this 11 years ago, 3 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^] [v] #609,639

@609,553 (G)
I've discussed this problem with my brother before in the past and we both agreed that as Filipinos we would not be disappointed upon receiving a free goat.

Anonymous G replied with this 11 years ago, 1 day later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #609,981

@previous (Meowth)
goats really are the best prize out of the above possibilities when you think about it, you get a self-powering weed eater/lawnmower, a source of milk, meat, and clothes, and two fleshlights all in one package

Anonymous H joined in and replied with this 11 years ago, 15 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #609,987

Choosing Door 2 does not increase your chances of winning, because the host has already decided that Door 1 will never be opened.

Anonymous A (OP) replied with this 11 years ago, 13 hours later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #610,165

@previous (H)
??? Retard.
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