Topic: If Scotland leaves the UK, what do you predict...
Anonymous A started this discussion 12 years ago #36,666
...will be the first massive fail that shows they should have stayed?
Syntax joined in and replied with this 12 years ago, 8 minutes later[^] [v] #498,323
The Betfair Sportsbook is paying out a substantial six figure sum on the NO vote three days before the market closes, fully confident that the Exchange will once again be the most accurate barometer of a political vote...
The moves comes as the £8.6m Exchange market remains vehemently in favour of a NO vote at 1.27 (1/4 and a 79% likelihood), despite opinion polls predicting a much closer result after the votes have been counted on Friday.
Over 85% of the total volume traded is in favour of a NO vote.
Several big individual trades continue to come on NO, with one customer staking £55,000 and another backing it for £27,000 on Sunday alone.
There has been little sign of the YES vote gaining any traction with political bettors, trading at 4.5 (7/2), and the average size of bet placed on this outcome under £80, in comparison to the £465 average bet for the NO vote.
Betfair's Naomi Totten said: "Political bettors have often favoured the Exchange as their choice of betting platform and it has historically provided an accurate prediction of political outcomes. Paying out early on our Sportsbook is testament to the esteem in which we hold the illustrious track record of our Exchange.
"To put the current prices into context, Betfair's markets gave Mitt Romney more of a chance of beating Barack Obama in 2012, than Alex Salmond currently beating the NO campaign on Thursday."
The moves comes as the £8.6m Exchange market remains vehemently in favour of a NO vote at 1.27 (1/4 and a 79% likelihood), despite opinion polls predicting a much closer result after the votes have been counted on Friday.
Over 85% of the total volume traded is in favour of a NO vote.
Several big individual trades continue to come on NO, with one customer staking £55,000 and another backing it for £27,000 on Sunday alone.
There has been little sign of the YES vote gaining any traction with political bettors, trading at 4.5 (7/2), and the average size of bet placed on this outcome under £80, in comparison to the £465 average bet for the NO vote.
Betfair's Naomi Totten said: "Political bettors have often favoured the Exchange as their choice of betting platform and it has historically provided an accurate prediction of political outcomes. Paying out early on our Sportsbook is testament to the esteem in which we hold the illustrious track record of our Exchange.
"To put the current prices into context, Betfair's markets gave Mitt Romney more of a chance of beating Barack Obama in 2012, than Alex Salmond currently beating the NO campaign on Thursday."
GeniusIQ !!eAo27L+4T joined in and replied with this 12 years ago, 11 minutes later, 19 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #498,335
@previous (Syntax)
He asked you what would happen if Scotland left the UK. Not what the betting odds are.
He asked you what would happen if Scotland left the UK. Not what the betting odds are.
Anonymous D joined in and replied with this 12 years ago, 1 hour later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #498,349
Syntax replied with this 12 years ago, 1 minute later, 1 hour after the original post[^] [v] #498,350
@498,335 (GeniusIQ !!eAo27L+4T)I not being a Genius such as u - Well Surf is UP and conditions are almost ideal 2day
This much I R sure of. If Scotland leaves UK then price of this GOES UP
Handel !XFpaTU3A5E joined in and replied with this 12 years ago, 2 hours later, 4 hours after the original post[^] [v] #498,367
@OP
The exact same thing that happened to other regions that left the British Empire.
The amount of fear mongering done by the NO campaign has exceeded all my expectations.
The exact same thing that happened to other regions that left the British Empire.
The amount of fear mongering done by the NO campaign has exceeded all my expectations.
TTEH !JXsxEkDBLs joined in and replied with this 12 years ago, 12 minutes later, 4 hours after the original post[^] [v] #498,374
@previous (Handel !XFpaTU3A5E)
I agree, and I think the major failure of the campaign from the start has been that they've devoted so much time focusing on the negatives, and spent little time on the positive aspects of staying.
They could've both pointed out Salmonds' obvious bollocks (especially regarding currency) and been more positive.
I agree, and I think the major failure of the campaign from the start has been that they've devoted so much time focusing on the negatives, and spent little time on the positive aspects of staying.
They could've both pointed out Salmonds' obvious bollocks (especially regarding currency) and been more positive.
TTEH !JXsxEkDBLs double-posted this 12 years ago, 1 minute later, 4 hours after the original post[^] [v] #498,376
@OP
When Scottish businesses migrate to England in droves to avoid a shitty, high-tax SNP government.
When Scottish businesses migrate to England in droves to avoid a shitty, high-tax SNP government.
GeniusIQ !!eAo27L+4T replied with this 12 years ago, 10 minutes later, 4 hours after the original post[^] [v] #498,379
@498,367 (Handel !XFpaTU3A5E)
Warning of possible outcomes isn't fear mongering. You've brought into the SNPs buzzwords.
If you put your hand into the oven you may burn yourself. Is that fear mongering or fair warning?
Warning of possible outcomes isn't fear mongering. You've brought into the SNPs buzzwords.
If you put your hand into the oven you may burn yourself. Is that fear mongering or fair warning?
HaikerensGuide !dBGi/iH4eY joined in and replied with this 12 years ago, 4 hours later, 8 hours after the original post[^] [v] #498,451
Going from the UK to the EU is jumping from the pan into the fire.