quoate:
The Bundibugyo strain of the ebola virus continues to spread at pace in the Democratic Republic of Congo. It has now passed 10,000 cases, becoming the biggest outbreak in that country, and has also spread to Kenya.
Anonymous B double-posted this 45 minutes ago, 8 minutes later, 44 minutes after the original post[^][v]#1,470,965
I could be wrong, but with Ebola, I think ironically the danger could be that it becomes less deadly. If a disease is too deadly, it kills people before they have a chance to spread it. Ebola has something like a 25% to 50% mortality rate. Covid spread so much because it had a 1% mortality rate. If we ever have a disease that is much more deadly than Covid but not as deadly as Ebola, say something with a 10% mortality rate, that would be a disease that could kill tens of millions of people. Which I don’t think this is that, but given how populated the world is, it’s more likely now than ever before in history that something like that could emerge with the sheer number of people there are and chances for that mutation to happen.
Anonymous C joined in and replied with this 30 minutes ago, 15 minutes later, 59 minutes after the original post[^][v]#1,470,967
About 70 new cases each day or so I'm told. Then you got people, who have developed deep mistrust of authorities and therefore health agencies. For a outbreak to go on for so long, I think it means they'll need help ending it.
🍋 replied with this 27 minutes ago, 3 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^][v]#1,470,968
@previous (C)
Apparently hey have a vaccine but from what I’ve seen in the minute or so I’ve spent looking online it seems like they developed a vaccine for the wrong variant of Ebola.
🍋 triple-posted this 23 minutes ago, 1 minute later, 1 hour after the original post[^][v]#1,470,970
From what I saw there have been about 10,000 cases and 5,000 deaths so it looks like it has a 50% mortality rate. So I think it’s unlikely to become a pandemic like Covid because this subspecies will kill people too quickly for it to become that big.
🍋 quadruple-posted this 21 minutes ago, 2 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^][v]#1,470,971
Although some diseases like the Black Death killed 30% to 60% of people in Europe or smallpox killed 90% of the Native Americans, so it’s not impossible for a disease with a high death rate to spread fast, but it’s not very likely.