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Mr. Bloody Lemonade !0JqexkOGBc (OP) quadruple-posted this 1 hour ago, 2 minutes later, 3 minutes after the original post[^][v]#1,444,802
Africa isn’t poor because it’s not developing or because blacks aren’t growing the economy, they have grown the economy by a lot, people simply fail to realize how bad colonialism was and just how much Europe stole from Africa. They’re behind because they had to start from zero. Even if that offends you, the data doesn’t lie.
Mr. Bloody Lemonade !0JqexkOGBc joined in and replied with this 1 hour ago, 18 minutes later, 22 minutes after the original post[^][v]#1,444,803
Also, despite what people say about Africa, that it’s failing to develop, which is not true, there are reasons to be optimistic that the economic growth will continue. The average African is 20 years old, the average European is 45 years old, and the average American is 40. American women have 1.6 children on average, European women have 1.3 children on average, and Africa women have 4 children on average. This means about half of Africans are not adults, meaning you can expect the workforce in Africa to double even without population growth, but they also have a high birth rate so their population will grow significantly over time. Even if the GDP per capita didn’t increase, it isn’t unreasonable to expect that Nigeria’s GDP could exceed 1 trillion USD in the second half of the 21st century, it’s not crazy to speculate that African nations will begin to move into the trillion GDP range from the billion GDP range in the next 30 to 50 years.
Mr. Bloody Lemonade !0JqexkOGBc double-posted this 1 hour ago, 8 minutes later, 31 minutes after the original post[^][v]#1,444,805
I mean, it makes sense, they have 242 million people in 2026, by 2050 they’ll have 375 to 400 million people, in 2026 their average age is 20, by 2050 it will increase to 25, so that means about half their people are adults, in 2050, it will be a bit more than half, but let’s just say it’s half for the sake of simplicity. Now you can assume they have about 100 million workers, in 2050, you can assume they’ll have about 200 million workers. Right now their GDP can range from 370 to 600 billion USD depending on oil prices that particular year, it’s not crazy to imagine if we assume their GDP minus the instability from oil is closer to 370 billion USD, if you double that, that could get you to 740 billion USD, assuming the standard of living increases somewhat in the next 25 years which isn’t unreasonable, they could probably do a bit better than that. It isn’t crazy to think that 30 to 50 years from now, Nigeria could have a 1 trillion GDP on a bad year to be conservative.
Anonymous C joined in and replied with this 18 minutes ago, 1 hour later, 1 hour after the original post[^][v]#1,444,816
@1,444,800 (Mr. Bloody Lemonade !0JqexkOGBc)
So it was going up during apartheid, then it went down for a moment after they ended it, and then resumed going up.
Mr. Bloody Lemonade !0JqexkOGBc joined in and replied with this 12 minutes ago, 5 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^][v]#1,444,818
@previous (C)
People misunderstand something, democracy doesn’t make a country rich. Wealth makes a country democratic. Apartheid ended as soon as the GDP per capita of South Africa started increasing, because once people have the financial means to focus on something other than survival, they’ll start resisting their authoritarian government and create a democracy. The important thing to notice is that South Africa is twice as wealthy per capita now as it was when apartheid ended.
Mr. Bloody Lemonade !0JqexkOGBc replied with this 10 minutes ago, 32 seconds later, 1 hour after the original post[^][v]#1,444,820
China is wealthier than India, but India is a democracy and China isn’t. When European economies diverged from other parts of the world, most of Europe wasn’t democratic yet. But the wealth from imperialism is why the working class in Europe was able to advocate for democratic ideals successfully.
Mr. Bloody Lemonade !0JqexkOGBc replied with this 6 minutes ago, 35 seconds later, 1 hour after the original post[^][v]#1,444,823
Technology does matter, but technology doesn’t make money, people make money using technology. Japan’s problem is they’re still making technology, but they’re not making people, so the technology doesn’t make the GDP get bigger.
Anonymous C replied with this 3 minutes ago, 2 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^][v]#1,444,825
@1,444,823 (Mr. Bloody Lemonade !0JqexkOGBc)
It's both, and you don't need to be making technology to have GDP go up. The technology they import improves, the increased production of anything from other countries by technology will make certain goods more abundant.
Mr. Bloody Lemonade !0JqexkOGBc replied with this 36 seconds ago, 2 minutes later, 1 hour after the original post[^][v]#1,444,826
@previous (C)
True. My point was mostly that, you noticed the GDP went up during apartheid, it did, but only at the very end of apartheid, that’s why apartheid ended. For most of apartheid, South Africa was extremely poor and there was very little economic growth as you can see in the first half of the graph. So it’s dishonest to say that the GDP growth after apartheid ended is the same as the GDP growth before apartheid ended. You can see in the chart that for several decades under apartheid, the average person would have seen almost no improvement in their living standard, and then right when apartheid ended, GDP per capita doubled.