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Minichan

Topic: Iran war: Nigeria and Japan

Anonymous A started this discussion 3 hours ago #133,551

I was just thinking about this a minute ago: Japan and Nigeria are exact opposites. Japan is a wealthy industrialized country with almost no oil reserves, and Nigeria is a very poor country with large oil reserves.

According to Wikipedia (who knows how accurate it is), Nigeria has the 7th largest oil refinery in the world.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oil_refineries

If a long Iran war is bad for the Japanese economy, could the Iran war be good for the Nigerian economy? Because the Iran war shrinks the competition and it also makes oil more expensive, but Nigeria has the same amount of oil, so they can sell the same supply of oil to more countries and sell it for a higher price. So if the Iran war drags on longer than a few weeks and goes for several months or maybe a year or longer, should we expect to see a spike in Nigeria’s GDP?

(Edited 3 minutes later.)

Anonymous A (OP) double-posted this 2 hours ago, 8 minutes later[^] [v] #1,422,423

Nigeria does have terrorism in the north, but the Dangote refinery is located in the south on an island and I know from looking at satellite pictures that Nigeria has a naval base near there in Apapa just to the west. So it’s probably unlikely that terrorism would affect their oil output…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lekki#/media/File%3AFree-Trade-Zone-Lekki-English.jpg

Anonymous A (OP) triple-posted this 2 hours ago, 1 minute later, 10 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,424

Or I guess it’s technically not an island, but it’s almost an island… it’s just barely connected to the mainland.

Anonymous A (OP) quadruple-posted this 2 hours ago, 11 minutes later, 21 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,425

Trump was actually pretty popular in Nigeria last year. Pew research found that he had 79% approval in Nigeria. So it would be interesting to see if Nigeria comes out in support of the Iran war if they start noticing a profit.

https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2025/06/11/confidence-in-trump/

Anonymous A (OP) quintuple-posted this 2 hours ago, 1 minute later, 23 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,426

They’re half Muslim though, so I’m not sure if they will or not.
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