Minichan

Topic: The Japanese economy

AVeryBlackGuy started this discussion 3 weeks ago #133,550

Most of Japan’s oil passes through the straight of Hormuz. What are your thoughts on the future of the Japanese economy?

AVeryBlackGuy (OP) double-posted this 3 weeks ago, 6 minutes later[^] [v] #1,422,408

*strait

I hate autocorrect

AVeryBlackGuy (OP) triple-posted this 3 weeks ago, 19 seconds later, 6 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,409

Why do they even call it autocorrect if it makes correct things incorrect?

Anonymous B joined in and replied with this 3 weeks ago, 2 minutes later, 9 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,410

Well if it really manages to fuck up supply in a long term, you're probably going to get a lot of unemployment and not just in Japan. Everyone will most likely blame the US and/or Israel.

AVeryBlackGuy (OP) replied with this 3 weeks ago, 1 minute later, 10 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,411

@previous (B)
Japan has 250 days of oil reserves apparently. So as long as they calculated that correctly Japan should be fine as long as the war doesn’t last longer than 250 days.

So I predict either Japan will be completely fine or completely not fine.

AVeryBlackGuy (OP) double-posted this 3 weeks ago, 1 minute later, 12 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,412

I’d imagine the easiest way to make their oil last longer is to make it more expensive though, so that’s gonna mess some stuff up.

AVeryBlackGuy (OP) triple-posted this 3 weeks ago, 1 minute later, 13 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,413

Hopefully nobody does the stupid thing and puts a price ceiling on oil and then runs out of oil.

Anonymous B replied with this 3 weeks ago, 11 minutes later, 25 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,416

@previous (AVeryBlackGuy)

I say everyone just comes together and send the bill to Israel and the US. They bought the oil price rice, they bought the ever growing numbers of refugees, they should fucking pay for it like adults.

Anonymous C joined in and replied with this 3 weeks ago, 1 minute later, 26 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,417

Prediction: somebody will do the stupid thing.

AVeryBlackGuy double-posted this 3 weeks ago, 1 minute later, 27 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,418

@1,422,416 (B)
The only problem with that is I’m American and we definitely won’t pay for it.

Anonymous B replied with this 3 weeks ago, 2 minutes later, 30 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,419

@previous (AVeryBlackGuy)

Sure you will, just not if you're a millionaire

AVeryBlackGuy replied with this 3 weeks ago, 0 seconds later, 30 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,420

I mean, there was literally a whole movement against giving foreign aid. So if we won’t pay a poor country obviously we’re not going to pay Japan.

(Edited 4 minutes later.)

AVeryBlackGuy double-posted this 3 weeks ago, 1 minute later, 31 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,421

@1,422,419 (B)
Yeah, but taxes are a given unless you earn your money through capital gains instead of a salary because somehow that’s different.

AVeryBlackGuy triple-posted this 3 weeks ago, 1 minute later, 33 minutes after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,422

Honestly I’m not really arguing if it’s good or it’s bad even if it’s obvious which of the two this is, I’m just curious about the economy. I have no stake in it, purely speculating for the sake of speculating.

AI joined in and replied with this 3 weeks ago, 17 hours later, 17 hours after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,528

@OP

> Most of Japan’s oil passes through the straight of Hormuz. What are your thoughts on the future of the Japanese economy?

Why isn't the Japanese economy growing?
Demographics: The Real Drag on Growth

Japan's biggest challenge isn't productivity. It's people. The ageing population economy is a defining feature of Japan's future. Since 2008, its population has been shrinking.Apr 22, 2025

Anonymous E joined in and replied with this 3 weeks ago, 1 day later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,819

Japan dropped to 4th place in the GDP rankings; it used to be 2nd

AVeryBlackGuy joined in and replied with this 2 weeks ago, 9 hours later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,846

@previous (E)
Japan is one of those countries that saw the problem before them, saw that there are only two solutions: have more babies or more immigration and decided the solution is to do neither and just let it happen.

(Edited 2 minutes later.)

AVeryBlackGuy double-posted this 2 weeks ago, 2 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,847

China seems to be attempting the have more babies route. It turns out that’s a lot more difficult than immigration.

AVeryBlackGuy triple-posted this 2 weeks ago, 3 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,848

Although, to be fair, Japan remaining the second largest economy wasn’t really sustainable. The only reason why that was possible is because the Soviet Union was mismanaged, India was colonized, and China had to recover from the whole Japanese invasion thing and also the Mao thing. But given the population sizes of India and China, it’s sort of inevitable in the long run you shouldn’t really expect Japan to be able to compete with either if India and China actually have a fair starting point.

AVeryBlackGuy quadruple-posted this 2 weeks ago, 3 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,849

I think really what happened is after WWII, the US had no real industrial competition globally, so the United States had an absurd amount of the global share of wealth relative to its population, and the United States spent billions of dollars rebuilding its allies, so then its allies became disproportionately more wealthy than the rest of the world as well. So it seemed like there was this magic 70 or 80 year period where countries that were comparatively small population-wise were dominating the global economy. So it was easier to believe that our system or our culture is special somehow. But of course, it’s not, and the rise of China is evidence of that, which will be followed in later decades by the rise of India and then the rise of African nations.

Anonymous G joined in and replied with this 2 weeks ago, 21 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,854

Then the whole white supremacist IQ explanation is just horse crap. I mean, really, India is poor because Indians are low IQ? Go to any American university and walk into the engineering or computer science department, there are Indians out the wazoo.

AVeryBlackGuy joined in and replied with this 2 weeks ago, 3 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,856

I just pooped my pants.

AVeryBlackGuy replied with this 2 weeks ago, 3 minutes later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,857

@previous (AVeryBlackGuy)

> I just pooped my pants.

Written by a Caucasoid

AVeryBlackGuy replied with this 2 weeks ago, 5 hours later, 2 days after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,922

@previous (AVeryBlackGuy)

> > I just pooped my pants.
>
> Written by a Caucasoid

Written by a Caucasoid

AVeryBlackGuy joined in and replied with this 2 weeks ago, 3 hours later, 3 days after the original post[^] [v] #1,422,936

I miss my job picking cotton.
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