Anonymous C replied with this 3 months ago, 7 minutes later, 8 hours after the original post[^][v]#1,398,238
@previous (boof)
Then don't buy Nvidia stock and you wont lose your money.
Whether the stock goes up or down, millions of people will be replaced because running a GPU is cheaper than having a real human answer a phone and write emails.
Anonymous F joined in and replied with this 3 months ago, 3 minutes later, 9 hours after the original post[^][v]#1,398,308
@previous (C)
If I were to raise my hand to summon a taxi in Midtown Manhattan, what is the probability that the taxi that comes to me is not driven by a human?
Anonymous K replied with this 3 months ago, 24 seconds later, 16 hours after the original post[^][v]#1,398,431
@1,398,428 (J)
So Waymo has relatively few engineers, and they've already made software that has a lower accident rate than a human, and that software can be copied and pasted for free into new cars. Retaining engineers just allows them to improve the software further, so it just gets better.
> No, they've had a commercial product for a few years now.
You said they have more employees than cars because they’re in the development phase and when I said they’ve been in the development phase for 16 years, you said no they’re not in the development phase because they have a product.
So which is it? Are they in development or are they not in development?
> They have more engineers than cars
They have more engineers than cars now, but aren't done expanding.
Do you think they're going to have 10x as many engineers when they are in 10x more cities? R&D doesn't scale when they expand to a new market, but customer support would.
> > While they are in the development phase they will have a different ratio then when they finally roll out to most cities. > > > > > > No, they've had a commercial product for a few years now. >
Yes, they have had a commercial product for years, and they are no longer in the pre-rollout phase. That doesn't mean they have zero employees working to improve the product further.
It took 9 years of development before users could order a car. It's been 6 years since and they have expanded from 1 to 3 cities, with 2 more planned.
> You said they have more employees than cars because they’re in the development phase and when I said they’ve been in the development phase for 16 years, you said no they’re not in the development phase because they have a product. > > So which is it? Are they in development or are they not in development?
They finished their 9-year long pre-rollout development. They won't stop refining the product unless they go out of business.
Anonymous K replied with this 3 months ago, 59 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^][v]#1,398,627
@previous (M) > Shinkansen: built in 5 years, no deaths since it opened 61 years ago.
Building a faster train isn't the same challenge as building a car that can drive itself.
> Waymo: still in development after 16 years
And no, they took 9 years of development
> has killed people.
It's safer than human drivers already, there are fewer deaths because of self-driving cars. Pointing out that it isn't 100% perfect missed the point: it just needs to be better than humans.
Anonymous N joined in and replied with this 3 months ago, 1 hour later, 1 day after the original post[^][v]#1,398,630
@previous (K)
If a broke and war-torn country like Japan can build a profitable form of transportation that kills nobody, then why can't Waymo do the same thing?
> If a broke and war-torn country like Japan can build a profitable form of transportation that kills nobody, then why can't Waymo do the same thing?
What decade is it? That was 80 years ago. The only reason why Japan was successful is because the United States spent billions of dollars rebuilding Japan because they wanted an ally in the east during the Cold War to oppose communism. Japan has terrible demographics, they have low immigration, Asians don’t like the Japanese because of what the Japanese did in the Second World War, so even if the Japanese wanted immigrants they probably wouldn’t get them, their economy is stagnating, they’ve gone from the second largest economy to falling behind China and Germany, and with basically zero GDP growth, they’re basically guaranteed to fall behind India next.
Anonymous P double-posted this 3 months ago, 4 minutes later, 1 day after the original post[^][v]#1,398,647
And by next I mean, India has a 3.9 trillion dollar GDP, Japan has a 4 trillion dollar GDP, India grows at 7% every year, Japan grows by 0.1% every year, it will probably happen literally next year. They’re a declining civilization, and the west is next.